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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
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Original Article

Open Access Original Article

A Study of the Efficiency and Unbiasedness in NCDEX: A Case Study of Guar Gum

Tarun K. Soni1,  Harish K. Singla2

1 Assistant Professor, Faculty of Management Studies, Banasthali University, Tonk - 304 022, Rajasthan

2 Assistant Professor, School of Behavioral Science and Business Studies, Thapar University, Patiala - 147 004, Punjab

Volume 7
Issue 11
Pages 28–37
Year 2013
Received: Jan. 13, 2013 Accepted: Aug. 1, 2013 Published: Nov. 1, 2013
Abstract

The paper aims to study the market efficiency and unbiasedness among guar gum futures contracts traded at the National Commodity&Derivatives Exchange Ltd. (NCDEX). The study has tested the market efficiency and unbiasedness with different maturities using cointegration analysis, and short-term market efficiency, using an error correction model and GARCH-M-ECM. The results suggest that the futures market for guar gum is inefficient in both short run and long run for all maturity periods, which may be caused by over-speculation or market manipulation. The results indicate an urgent need to provide more powers to FMC to regulate the market and penalize any insider trading, cartelization, and price manipulations.

Keywords Cointegration Market Efficiency Futures Market Guar Gum
How to Cite

Tarun K. Soni, Harish K. Singla (2013). A Study of the Efficiency and Unbiasedness in NCDEX: A Case Study of Guar Gum. Indian Journal of Finance, 7(11), 28–37.

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