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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
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Original Article

Open Access Original Article

A VECM Approach to Explain Dynamic Alliance Between Stock Markets

Neeraj Nautiyal1,  P. C. Kavidayal2

1 Associate Professor, Graphic Era Hill University, Bhimtal, Sattal Road, Bhowali - 263 132, Nainital, Uttarakhand

2 Head & Dean, Department of Management Studies, Kumaun University, Opp. Ramleela Ground, Bhimtal, Mallital, Nainital, Uttarakhand

Volume 12
Issue 11
Pages 49–64
Year 2018
Received: May 10, 2018 Accepted: Oct. 23, 2018 Published: Nov. 1, 2018
Abstract

This paper attempted to examine the extent of cross - country returns and comovement between the stock markets of six developed benchmark countries (USA, UK, Japan, Germany, France, and Hong Kong) and five emerging benchmark countries (Russia, India, China, Malaysia, and Korea). The study analyzed time series data between the periods from April 2006 to March 2016. This paper used time-series vector error correction model approach of stationarity test and cointegration test to establish long-run and short-run relationship between emerging and developed economies. To assess the stability of the relationship (response to shock) amongst the variables over time, forecast error variance decomposition was used. The empirical results suggested that short-run causality primarily ran from the Hong Kong market to India and from India to Malaysia, Germany to Korea, and also from France to China. The findings of the study showed that the speed of adjustment in the vector error correction model was significant but relatively slow. The variance decomposition analysis confirmed the short and long-run stock market linkage between the sample countries. Therefore, it was inferred that stock market integration and causation between different markets and indices had changed.

Keywords Stock Market Linkage Integration Financial System Diversification Developing And Developed Markets Causality
How to Cite

Neeraj Nautiyal, P. C. Kavidayal (2018). A VECM Approach to Explain Dynamic Alliance Between Stock Markets. Indian Journal of Finance, 12(11), 49–64. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2018/v12i11/138203

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