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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
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Original Article

Open Access Original Article

An Empirical Study of Price Discovery in Commodities Futures Market

Mohammad Irfan1,  Jayant Hooda2

1 Assistant Professor, School of Business, Auro University, Earthspace Hazira Road, Opp. ONGC, Surat - 394510, Gujarat

2 Ph.D. Scholar, Department of Management Studies, Central University of Haryana, Mahendergarh - 123 031, Haryana

Volume 11
Issue 3
Pages 41–57
Year 2017
Received: May 19, 2016 Accepted: Nov. 30, 2016 Published: March 1, 2017
Abstract

Price discovery is one of the major economic functions of the futures market. It provides a competitive response of futures prices which are derived from spot prices. Basically, a commodity derivative is multifarious in a growing country like India. India is one of the leading producers of agriculture commodities. The main aim of this study was to find out the effectiveness of commodity derivatives in price discovery in agriculture commodities in India. The price discovery relationship of 10 agricultural commodities was investigated. The daily price information of 10 agriculture commodities namely wheat, sugar, chili, mustard-seed, chana (Bengal gram whole), pepper, turmeric, soybean, barley, and maize were taken from NCDEX for the period from 2005 to 2015. The study used simple descriptive statistics, ADF test, PP-test, Johansen co-integration, and Granger causality test to find the answers. We found that there is long-run equilibrium relationship established in 10 commodities. The outcome of the Granger causality test showed unidirectional Granger lead-lag relationships between spot and futures markets in all agricultural commodities in which there were two co-integrations and causality. The findings of the study have important policy and regulatory implications for the Indian commodity futures market. The study will also be helpful to the investors and other market participants to understand the mechanism of the Indian commodity futures market.

Keywords Price Discovery Granger Causality Market Efficiency Futures Market
How to Cite

Mohammad Irfan, Jayant Hooda (2017). An Empirical Study of Price Discovery in Commodities Futures Market. Indian Journal of Finance, 11(3), 41–57. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2017/v11i3/111648

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