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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
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Original Article

Open Access Original Article

Foreign Exchange, Gold, and Real Estate Markets in India: An Analysis of Return Volatility and Transmission

Amritkant Mishra1

1 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, CHRIST (Deemed to be University), Marium Nagar, Ghaziabad - 201 003, Uttar Pradesh

Volume 13
Issue 7
Pages 50–64
Year 2019
Received: June 16, 2018 Accepted: May 25, 2019 Published: July 31, 2019
Abstract

This empirical analysis endeavored to investigate the return volatility, covolatility, and the spillover impact of gold, real estate, and U.S. dollar in India. The generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity dynamic conditional correlation (GARCH - DCC) was used to reveal the return volatility and conditional correlation. The volatility spillover was examined by using the variance decomposition technique. The empirical outcome clearly revealed the presence of ARCH and GARCH effect on gold, realty, and U.S. dollar. Additionally, the results also manifested that the returns of these variables were not moving away from their means in the long run. On the other hand, the consequences of volatility spillover reported that real estate was the most dominating among all markets. This is so because returns on real estate had a significant contribution to the return volatility of the other markets. Finally, it was also found that return volatility of U.S. dollar was most affected as it was the net receiver of volatility, while return volatility of gold seemed to be neutral in the Indian financial market.

Keywords Gold GARCH DCC U.S. Dollar Volatility Spillover
How to Cite

Amritkant Mishra (2019). Foreign Exchange, Gold, and Real Estate Markets in India: An Analysis of Return Volatility and Transmission. Indian Journal of Finance, 13(7), 50–64. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2019/v13i7/145535

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