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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
A publication of AMCPL
amcon.co.in
New Delhi, India
Indexed in: Scopus Q2 UGC-CARE Group II Google Scholar J-Gate NISCAIR Crossref

Original Article

Open Access Original Article

Impact of Dollar Fluctuation on Gold and Crude Oil Prices

Divyang J. Joshi1

1 Assistant Professor, Late. Smt: Shardaben Ghanshyambhai Patel Institute of Management Studies, Amrapali Township, P.O Dharmaj, Petlad-Khambhat road, Dharmaj, Dist: Anand Pin: 388430 (Gujarat.)

Volume 5
Issue 5
Pages 3–12
Year 2011
Published: May 1, 2011
Abstract

The ₹/$ rate is very important for the movement of prices of Gold and Crude oil. The ₹/$ rate is considered as a base by the commodity traders to forecast the Gold or Crude oil movement. This gives a strong subjective background to test the existence of any such relationship in India. This paper focuses on to establish and validate the long term relationship of commodities' prices (Gold&Crude Oil) with Exchange rate (₹/Dollar.) in the Indian context. There are numerous traders in India who trade in commodities on the basis of relationship of ₹/$ exchange rate and Commodity price.There are many other factors on which the prices of Gold and crude oil may depend. They are government policies; budget, inflation, economic and political condition of the country etc. affect the prices of Gold and Crude oil. But this study focuses only on one independent variable i.e. ₹/$ exchange rate. The data of ₹/$ weekly closing rate taken as an independent variable and the prices of Gold and Crude oil are taken as dependent variables.The correlation-regression analysis and ADF test is used to find out relationship among ₹/$ exchange rate volatility v/s Gold & Crude oil. The ₹/$ exchange rate found stationary with the help of ADF test. The study shows the negative relationship between ₹/$ exchange rate and Gold and Crude oil.

How to Cite

Divyang J. Joshi (2011). Impact of Dollar Fluctuation on Gold and Crude Oil Prices. Indian Journal of Finance, 5(5), 3–12.

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