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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
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Original Article

Open Access Original Article

Indian Twin Deficits: The Role of Inflation and Money Supply

Madhura Bedarkar1,  Santosh Gopalkrishnan2,  Kunal Khairnar3

1 Assistant Professor, Symbiosis Institute of Business Management, Pune, Symbiosis International University, Lavale Gram, Mulshi Taluka, Pune - 412 215

2 Assistant Professor, Symbiosis Institute of Business Management, Pune, Symbiosis International University, Lavale Gram, Mulshi Taluka, Pune - 412 215

3 Doctoral Student, Ecole d'économie de Toulouse, Manufacture des Tabacs, 21, Allée de Brienne 31015 Toulouse Cedex 6

Volume 10
Issue 2
Pages 7–23
Year 2016
Received: Aug. 5, 2015 Accepted: Jan. 4, 2016 Published: Feb. 1, 2016
Abstract

The study explored the role of inflation and money supply in the twin deficits hypothesis using the IS-LM framework and posited that inflation could be the mediating variable which explains why a higher fiscal deficit may lead to worsening of the current account balance. This may hamper the effectiveness of the monetary policy and long run output growth. We tested the model empirically on Indian data using Johansen's cointegration test to find evidence that fiscal deficit, current account deficit, inflation, and money supply have a long-run relationship.

Keywords Twin Deficits Hypothesis Mundell-Fleming Model Inflation IS-LM Model Johansen Cointegration Fiscal Deficit Current Account Deficit.
How to Cite

Madhura Bedarkar, Santosh Gopalkrishnan, Kunal Khairnar (2016). Indian Twin Deficits: The Role of Inflation and Money Supply. Indian Journal of Finance, 10(2), 7–23. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2016/v10i2/87231

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