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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
A publication of AMCPL
amcon.co.in
New Delhi, India
Indexed in: Scopus Q2 UGC-CARE Group II Google Scholar J-Gate NISCAIR Crossref

Original Article

Open Access Original Article

Modeling Hong Kong Stock Market Volatility

Anil K. Mittal1,  Niti Goyal2

1 Reader, University School of Management, Kurukshetra University Kurukshetra, Haryana

2 Research Scholar, University School of Management, Kurukshetra University, Kurukshetra, Haryana

Volume 5
Issue 12
Pages 26–37
Year 2011
Published: Dec. 1, 2011
Abstract

This article aims at studying the stock price behavior&modeling the volatility of the Hong Kong Stock Market and investigates if there is any asymmetric volatility in its return structure. It also finds out the best model for unfolding the asymmetric effects. Hang Seng Index returns have been used to proxy the Hong Kong Stock Market over the ten-year period starting from October 1st, 2000- September 30th, 2010. The return series exhibit heteroskedasticity, volatility clustering&has fat tails. GARCH (1, 1) model has been found to be the most appropriate model to capture the symmetric effects and among the asymmetric models, EGARCH (1, 1) has been found to be the best as per AIC&LL criterion. The ARCH in Mean model reported that Hong Kong market does not offer risk premium. Apart from the presence of the leverage effect, we also found very high volatility persistence over the period considered.

Keywords Volatility GARCH EGARCH PARCH TARCH ARCH in Mean
How to Cite

Anil K. Mittal, Niti Goyal (2011). Modeling Hong Kong Stock Market Volatility. Indian Journal of Finance, 5(12), 26–37.

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