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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
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Original Article

Open Access Original Article

Modelling Volatility Clustering and Asymmetry : A Study of Indian Index Futures Markets

Harpreet Kaur1,  Ravinderjit Singh2

1 Senior Research Fellow , Department of Commerce, Punjabi University, Patiala -147 001, Punjab

2 Assistant Professor, School of Commerce and Management, GSSDGS Khalsa College, Patiala -147 001, Punjab

Volume 13
Issue 3
Pages 51–65
Year 2019
Received: July 18, 2018 Accepted: Feb. 18, 2019 Published: March 22, 2019
Abstract

The main objective of this paper was to study volatility clustering and asymmetrical features of the Indian index futures markets using the most commonly used symmetrical and asymmetrical generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models such as traditional GARCH and threshold GARCH (TGARCH), respectively. To achieve the objectives of the study, NIFTY futures index - FUTIDX and MCX futures index - MCXCOMDEX was used as a proxy to the Indian stock and commodity futures market, respectively. The daily data for selected indices were collected for a period of 12 years from May 13, 2006 to June 13, 2018 from the official websites of the respective exchanges. The results of the study indicated that though conditional volatility was present in both of the selected futures markets, but threshold effect as well as leverage effect was present in the Indian stock futures market only. Therefore, we concluded that negative and positive news did not have a symmetrical impact on the volatility of stock futures market returns, and moreover, bad news created more volatility in the Indian stock futures market as compared to good news.

Keywords Asymmetric Volatility Garch Tgarch Commodity Futures (mcxcomdex) Stock Futures (futidx) Leverage Effects
How to Cite

Harpreet Kaur, Ravinderjit Singh (2019). Modelling Volatility Clustering and Asymmetry : A Study of Indian Index Futures Markets. Indian Journal of Finance, 13(3), 51–65. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2019/v13i3/142269

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