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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
A publication of AMCPL
amcon.co.in
New Delhi, India
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Original Article

Open Access Original Article

Private Savings Behaviour in Lesotho: An Application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model

Emmanuel M. Letete1,  Ch. Paramaiah2

1 Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, National University of Lesotho, Roma, Lesotho

2 Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, National University of Lesotho, Roma, Lesotho

Volume 3
Issue 10
Pages 32–42
Year 2009
Published: Oct. 1, 2009
Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the private savings behaviour in Lesotho by employing an application of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The empirical evidence on the determinants of private savings, the basic features of the Lesotho economy, the long-run and short-run determinants of private savings in Lesotho are modeled by using the dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Modeling approach. The data used in this study were the secondary quarterly time series data that covered a 23-year period from 1980-I to 2003-IV. The overall performance of the long run model shows that about 97 % of the total variation was explained by the regressor which is an impressive performance of the best fitting model. The Durbin-Watson statistic also is around two which suggests that the model under consideration is not prone to serial correlation but more robust diagnostic test is employed. Similarly, F-statistics measuring the joint significance of all regressors in the model is statistically significant at 1 per cent level. On the other hand, the short run model of private saving rate also has a high value of the coefficient of determination of about 65 % showing that the overall fitness of the model is satisfactory.

How to Cite

Emmanuel M. Letete, Ch. Paramaiah (2009). Private Savings Behaviour in Lesotho: An Application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model. Indian Journal of Finance, 3(10), 32–42.

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