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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
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Original Article

Open Access Original Article

Sensitivity of Non-Performing Assets to GDP and Inflation Rate Volatility

Tabassum1,  Sarveshwar Pande2

1 Research Scholar, Amity Business School, Amity University Uttar Pradesh, Lucknow Campus, Malhaur, Lucknow - 226 010, Uttar Pradesh

2 Assistant Professor, Amity Business School, Amity University Uttar Pradesh, Lucknow Campus, Malhaur, Lucknow - 226 010, Uttar Pradesh

Volume 15
Issue 4
Pages 41–58
Year 2021
Received: Feb. 18, 2020 Accepted: Dec. 23, 2020 Published: April 30, 2021
Abstract

This research examined the impact of inflation rate and gross domestic product (GDP) and their volatility on the non- performing assets (NPAs) in the Indian scheduled commercial banks from 1996–1997 to 2016–17. It examined how the macroeconomic volatility in the inflation rate and GDP significantly impacted the gross NPAs in the sampled banks. An econometric autoregressive model was employed where the gross NPAs were used as the explained variable, while one-period lags of gross NPAs, GDP, and inflation rate were the regressors. Pearson’s correlation analysis was also employed. Secondary data analysis was done. The findings confirmed that the one-period lag of gross NPAs had a positive and highly statistically significant effect on the gross NPAs ; whereas, GDP and inflation rate had a highly statistically insignificant effect on the gross NPAs in the sampled banks. It is envisaged that future research studies will be accomplished by including bank-specific and other macroeconomic factors. Other categories of Indian banks can be also included in further studies.

Keywords Sensitivity Non-Performing Assets NPAs Inflation Rate GDP Macroeconomic Variables Volatility Scheduled Commercial Banks Econometric Autoregressive Model Correlation Analysis. JEL Classification
How to Cite

Tabassum, Sarveshwar Pande (2021). Sensitivity of Non-Performing Assets to GDP and Inflation Rate Volatility. Indian Journal of Finance, 15(4), 41–58. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2021/v15i4/158672

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