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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
A publication of AMCPL
amcon.co.in
New Delhi, India
Indexed in: Scopus Q2 UGC-CARE Group II Google Scholar J-Gate NISCAIR Crossref

Original Article

Open Access Original Article

Stock Price Dependency in Indian Capital Market: An Explanation at Aggregated and Disaggregated Levels

Martin Patrick1,  Francy T. V.2

1 Reader in Economics, Maharaja's College (Government), Ernakulam, Kerala

2 Selection Grade Lecturer in Statistics, Maharaja's College(Government), Ernakulam, Kerala

Volume 2
Issue 8
Pages 15–23
Year 2008
Published: Nov. 1, 2008
Abstract

With a view to see the empirical validity of random walk hypothesis in India with the 'variance ratio test', the present paper has made analysis at two levels i.e at aggregated and disaggregated levels. While the disaggregated level made use of daily closing prices of a sample of individual securities, the aggregated level made use of the closing price series of four popular stock market indices of national stock exchange for the period 2001 to 2007. The results of aggregate level analysis indicate the existence of non-randomness in the movements of Nifty. Contrary to this, the results of disaggregate level analysis are found to be supporting the existence of random walk hypothesis when the test statistic is adjusted for hetroscedasticity. It indicates that the appearance of stock price dependency on the past price data in Indian bourses is not real as claimed by a section of analysts, but because of the spurious correlation and presence of hetroscedasticity. Nifty being the most popular stock market index in India, it is expected to reflect the overall changes in the economy hence the non-randomness in its movements is not surprising.

How to Cite

Martin Patrick, Francy T. V. (2008). Stock Price Dependency in Indian Capital Market: An Explanation at Aggregated and Disaggregated Levels. Indian Journal of Finance, 2(8), 15–23.

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