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Indian Journal of Finance

ISSN: 0973-8711 Frequency: Monthly Peer Review: Double-blind Published since: 2007 Language: English
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Original Article

Open Access Original Article

Macroeconomic Antecedents of Stock Returns and Exchange Rate

K. V. Bhanumurthy1,  Amit Kumar Singh2,  Annu Aggarwal3

1 Professor (Retd), Department of Commerce, Delhi School of Economics, University of Delhi, Delhi - 110 007

2 Associate Professor , Department of Commerce, Delhi School of Economics, University of Delhi, Delhi - 110 007

3 Assistant Professor, Hindu College, University of Delhi, Delhi - 110 007

Volume 13
Issue 6
Pages 29–53
Year 2019
Accepted: April 26, 2019 Published: June 4, 2019
Abstract

This study attempted to empirically test the trend and behaviour of macroeconomic variables, that is, money supply, interest rate, inflation rate, GDP, stock returns, and exchange rates during different policy periods classified as liberalization, globalization, world recovery, and global financial crisis in India over the period from April 1991 to March 2015 by using dummy variable : structural growth equation both for intercept and slope. These macroeconomic antecedents surround the relationship between stock returns and exchange rates ; although, these macroeconomic antecedents may not be the direct determinants of foreign exchange rates and stock returns. It was observed that all the four global policy periods had a statistically significant impact sometimes on the levels and sometimes on the growth rate of the macroeconomic antecedents under study.

Keywords Economic Growth Stability Exchange Rate Volatility Indian Rupee U.S. Dollar Inflation GDP Interest Rates Exposure E31 F31 F41 F43 July 8 2018 Paper sent back for Revision March 13 2019 Paper Acceptance Date April 26 2019
How to Cite

K. V. Bhanumurthy, Amit Kumar Singh, Annu Aggarwal (2019). Macroeconomic Antecedents of Stock Returns and Exchange Rate. Indian Journal of Finance, 13(6), 29–53. https://doi.org/10.17010/ijf/2019/v13i6/144848

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